Dino Inflation…
A low frequency but juicy strategy where the edge is government incompetence.
Let’s dig in…
Another slow summer week with no fat pitches in sight and nothing much to write about, just more wacky moves and rotations in a summer tape. Our TWTR feeds are filled with Trump-trade rhetoric and it’s pretty consensus at this point. We get it, Trump and JD are looking for low rates to make us great again – dollar smash, gold up, reshoring, energy, BTC, with a sidecar of tech-crack down. Seems like everyone is finally realizing all paths lead to inflation…shocker..
KEDM is already well positioned in inflation-themed inflections so we have no new insights on that front. With a de-grossed and inflation-linked book we are spending our time eating through Italy and researching the global historical inflation regimes while kicking tires on 2nd derivative Trump trades that will benefit from a devaluation (more on that soon).
In the meantime, let us know in the Discord or the Crowdsource Monitor if you have any non-consensus USD bear/inflation linked trades – the stranger, the better… And speaking of strange inflation themes, Kenny Griffin just lifted a stegosaurus for $45m. Funny enough, we kicked around buying some physical fossils internally back in 2023 after our good friend Swen put dinos on our radar – worth a skim and a subscription if you like oddball stocks/themes. Point is, money finds funny avenues to protect against inflation and the high torque in this cycle may not come from the traditional GC/BTC/PGMs. Worth thinking outside the box for 2025…Let us know what you dig up..
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