KEDM Lite Vol. 14

A low frequency but juicy strategy where the edge is government incompetence.

Let’s dig in…

This week’s additions and highlights


1. SPIN-OFFS

  • Corteva (CTVA US). Corteva recently confirmed the Q4 separation of Seeds (Vylor) and Crop Protection (New Corteva), with dis‑synergies cut to $50m. This in itself is an attractive catalyst given the different business dynamics. Seed volumes were boosted by timing shifts and strong North American demand, and Crop Protection outperformed on new products and tighter global supply. Corteva also raised 2026 royalty guidance, which is quite positive.
  • Brazilian Rare Earths (BRE AU). Brazilian Rare Earths is spinning out its Amargosa bauxite‑gallium project into a new ASX‑listed company, Alurion Resources, letting BRE stay focused on rare earths. Amargosa is a 568 Mt resource with 98 Mt of high‑grade direct‑ship bauxite, a relatively simple low‑capex development path, and from what it looks like some strong economics (NPV8 US$630m, IRR 82%). BRE will retain a 17-18% stake. BRE has done tremendously well over the past year, and these spins are often interesting opportunities.
  • Honeywell (HON US). It might be a good time to look at Honeywell, which recently corrected on rather poor results. The company is preparing to separate Aerospace, while also selling non-core businesses (last one is PSS to Brady for $1.4bn). Aerospace faced a tough Q1 on supply chain disruptions, ending a long streak of quarters with solid growth, though March was solid again. Aerospace will trade under HONA, with an investor day planned in June. Another interesting note, a reminder that Honeywell also owns a big stake in Quantinuum, a pretty interesting quantum bet which has filed for an IPO. NVDA participated in the latest funding round which was already up in double digit $bn, nice optionality.

    UPDATE (May 19, 2026) Busy and interesting times ahead for Honeywell. There’s an investor day scheduled for June 11, as well as an Aerospace (HONA) investor day on June 3 ahead of the spin. Honeywell also filed for the Quantinuum IPO, which is looking to be in the $20bn+ range, despite only $31m revenues in 2025. But hey, it has Quantum in the name. Jokes aside, plenty of action.


2. STRATEGIC ALTERNATIVES & REVIEWS

(Potential take-outs, asset sales, M&A, etc.)

  • GoPro (GPRO US). GoPro announced a review of strategic alternatives after receiving unsolicited interest. The stock is bobbing at the lows with the company working hard for years to reduce debt and regain profitability. That has not been working out so well and given its still interesting and sticky hardware‑plus‑subscription environment, it (finally) might be time to sell…

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Kuppy’s Event Driven Monitor (“KEDM”) is not a financial or investment advisor and the information contained in this publication is not intended to constitute legal, accounting, or text advice or individually-tailored investment advice and is not designed to meet your personal financial situation. The investments discussed in this publication may not be suitable for you. You are required to conduct your own due diligence, analyses, draw your own conclusions, and make your own investment decisions. Any areas concerning legal, accounting, or tax advice or individually-tailored investment advice should be referred to your lawyers, accountants, tax advisors, investment advisers, or other professionals registered or otherwise authorized to provide such advice. KEDM makes no recommendations whatsoever regarding buying, selling, or holding a specified security, a class of securities, or the securities of a class of issuers, and all commentary is for educational purposes only. The investment examples noted are intended to provide and example of the events and data KEDM flags each week and is not representative of typical returns generated by each event or any future returns.