Monday Monitor

Highlights from Our Happy Hour with Bob Robotti

Some highlights from this weekend’s Event Driven Monitor

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The Event of the Week

Talk about good timing. Bob’s largest holding ($TDW) broke out to 5-year highs the day of our interview with him…

This week in KEDM we broke down our 17 biggest takeaways from the KEDM members only happy hour with Bob Robotti. Here are a few of our favorites…

1) On inflation – The continued migration from China to North America will require new building and this supply build out will have inflationary impacts. There is a capital cycle that’s underway across the globe that will drive price pressures. This is sticky, not transient.

2) On “Globalization 2.0 – Not Just China” – This is the internal title at Bob’s firm for their view on reshoring and friend shoring. While many focus on the geopolitical and social reasons why these shifts are taking place he argues that shifting competitive advantages have a lot to do with it. Just like investors who have a frozen understanding of industries that adapt and evolve people have failed to properly evolve their understanding of China as the economy has shifted. Incredibly cheap labor previously made up for higher energy costs. While still cheaper than western labor, the gap has narrowed such that energy costs may be the driving factor of cost concerned international industrial companies.

3) On China’s Economic Weakness – China is the 800lb gorilla. China in a recession is not the permanent state of affairs in general. Globalization 2.0 means businesses are moving out of China. It’s the same thing that happened to America 20 years ago, 40 years ago. Businesses moved out of America. {But} The American economy grew. The Chinese economy is going to do something different – it is just a mature economy that’s internalizing that has its own consumption, but economic activity will continue to grow in China and power consumption will probably continue to grow in China.


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Kuppy’s Tweet of the Week

Rising long-end yields aren’t exactly the fireworks most are expecting…


Chart and Kliff Note of the Week


CSV – Funeral home and cemetery operator Carriage Services announced strategic review, after receiving an all cash proposal from Park Lawn Corp. Look, we have been following this company since COVID, as a play on excess mortality, however the high leverage have been a mood-killer. This offer and the strat-review make sense to us, as the CEO/Founder Melvin Payne (age 82) himself could soon be a customer of Carriage Services, and we are having a difficult time imagining his millennial kids are thrilled to run this delightful business. Keep an eye.

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You’ll get the KEDM Event of the Week, KEDM’s Kliff Note and Chart of the Week, and our selection of the week’s best research, commentary and more from others in our Friends of KEDM section.