Monday Monitor

Our thinking on Turkey

Some highlights from this weekend’s Event Driven Monitor

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The Event of the Week

You’ve probably seen that Turkiye got some volatility in the last 10 days. For those who were under a rock, Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu and another approx. 100 people including his close advisors, municipal employees, ‘friendly’ construction company owners, local opposition media members and journalists were taken into custody. What does it mean for the market? Let’s turn back to October and revisit the initial thesis…..

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Kuppy’s Tweet of the Week

 


Chart and Kliff Note of the Week

CEO Turnover Monitor: The CFO has replaced the CEO at the water pipe distributor Core and Main (CNM), effective immediately. This has been a laggard since PVC pricing broke down and Trump’s election took the wind out of infrastructure spend but is worth keeping an eye on should his administration decide that infrastructure is still something worth having.


13D and Activist Monitor:FT reports that activist Elliott takes 5% stake in German Energy group RWE. One of EU’s largest power producer, (and a name Le Shrub mentioned on our Happy Hour) RWE has been vocal on cutting Offshore Wind and other renewable investments, and thinks could save $10bn in CAPEX. Elliott initially took a stake last year in November, and we will likely hear more about their engagement with the company.

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Kuppy’s Event Driven Monitor scans over 20 corporate events for market moving information and distills them into our propietary “Kliff Notes.”  One profitable trade should more than cover an annual subscription and access to the Event Driven chatroom!

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