Monday Monitor

We expect equities to keep declining

Some highlights from this weekend’s Event Driven Monitor

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The Event of the Week

Honestly, we thought Trump would do a flat tariff. Maybe something in the 10-20% range. Instead, he came out swinging. He literally carpet bombed every CUSIP. We don’t blame him. These tariffs are the right thing to do—though he could have been a bit more Presidential with it all. On the other hand, he avoided leaks to the press, by making it all up about an hour before…

We expect equities to keep declining. As noted many times, MAGA is NOT bullish for risk assets. Just go re-read our past 3 months of commentary (or you’ll get the gist just based on the titles: Bear Porn, The Bell Is Ringing, More Bear Porn, Mean Reversion is Imminent, Where Did the Margin Go, TINA Died in 2025).

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Kuppy’s Tweet of the Week

 


Chart and Kliff Note of the Week

Cluster Buy Monitor: The new CEO at WOOF, who was previously the CEO at FIVE, purchased almost $5m of shares in the open market. Don’t forget that he received a $15m one-time equity incentive upon taking the helm.


13D and Activist Monitor: Previous mention Ingevity entered into a cooperation agreement with the activist Vision One. Activist got a board seat and also agreed to usually standstill provisions. Look, we told you before that these guys dominate the market in carbon products. These “honeycombs” are installed right next to your gas tank and minimize the emissions from gasoline vapor in ICE vehicles.

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Kuppy’s Event Driven Monitor scans over 20 corporate events for market moving information and distills them into our propietary “Kliff Notes.”  One profitable trade should more than cover an annual subscription and access to the Event Driven chatroom!

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