Monday Monitor

We were late to the party at that time

Some highlights from this weekend’s Event Driven Monitor

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The Event of the Week

This is inherently a weather/ag/natty trade with a sidecar of geopolitical, and overall, they are simply sh*t businesses, but every few years we get a tradeable cycle here. We first wrote about it in KEDM back in 2022. We were late to the party then so it was a hard pass. But now after falling 60% from the highs with a decent base forming we decided to throw an analyst back on the scent and we will get back after we kick some tires.

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Kuppy’s Tweet of the Week

 


Chart and Kliff Note of the Week

M&A Monitor: SLRN, a negative $350mil EV biopharma, is to be acquired by ALMS, another negative $22 mil EV, for ~$200 mil. Straight-up liquidation offers current shareholders at least twice as much benefit as the M&A. But who are we here to judge anyway? The merger spread is at 18%.


CVR Monitor: We are reading some reports here and there that the FNA / ZBH merger is a ‘done deal’. FNA provides orthopedic solutions for fracture fixation, ankle replacements, etc., and will be acquired for $13.0 in cash plus a CVR. Currently, the shares are trading at around $13.00 so you get a free look at the CVR that offers up to $1.0 per share. Worth looking at.

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Kuppy’s Event Driven Monitor scans over 20 corporate events for market moving information and distills them into our propietary “Kliff Notes.”  One profitable trade should more than cover an annual subscription and access to the Event Driven chatroom!

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